Ranger Suarez
LHP
BOS
7
HRs Allowed
6.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
17.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.64
FIP
3.68
xFIP
-0.04
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.54
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
83th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
62.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.64
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
36th pctile
3.68
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.04
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
49th pctile
6.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
113
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
6.2%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
4
Platoon Edge Bats
4
Same-Side Bats
0
Switch Hitters
4L / 4R
Listed Hands
4 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a LHP.
Kyle Higashioka
Jake Burger
Josh Jung
Ezequiel Duran
Today Context
0.90
Park Factor
1.0
Wind MPH · W
14.0%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Fenway Park
Roof open
79°F
Weather 1.0
BP FIP 4.20
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters
TEX @ BOS · 4:10p
| # | Batter | Platoon | Tier | Score | Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. | ISO | Context | BvP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 |
LvL
Same
|
🟠 C | 54 | 14.3%vs LHP | 18.2%vs LHH | 0.188 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look | |
| 85 |
LvL
Same
|
🟠 C | 50 | 18.8% | 18.2%vs LHH | 0.214 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look | |
| 136 |
RvL
Edge
|
⚪ D | 40 | 14.3% | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.157 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look | |
| 137 |
RvL
Edge
Splits
|
⚪ D | 39 | 30.8%vs LHP | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.190 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look | |
| 167 |
RvL
Edge
|
⚪ D | 35 | 20.0%vs LHP | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.160 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look | |
| 168 |
LvL
Same
|
⚪ D | 35 | 9.1%vs LHP | 18.2%vs LHH | 0.156 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
PA 1
HR 0
|
|
| 195 |
RvL
Edge
|
⚪ D | 28 | 16.7%vs LHP | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.158 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look | |
| 198 |
LvL
Same
|
⚪ D | 27 | 9.1% | 18.2%vs LHH | 0.141 |
Park 0.90
Wind 1.0 W
Roof open
BP 14.0%
|
first look |
Fenway Park
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 92.8mph | 100.5mph | 27.0° | 394ft | Flat +0.9pp |
| Last 15 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 9.4% | 0.75 | 96.2mph | 103.3mph | 29.7° | 415ft | Up +3.2pp |
| Last 30 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 8.0% | 0.67 | 96.8mph | 105.1mph | 29.2° | 416ft | Flat +1.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.8
Avg Max EV
112.8
Max EV Allowed
53
Hard-Hit Proxy · 62.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.6
Avg HR EV
29.0°
Avg HR Launch
397
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Trent Grisham | 103.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Anthony Volpe | 101.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Cody Bellinger | 100.5mph | 100.5mph | 27° | 394ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 | José Ramírez | 108.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brayan Rocchio | 103.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Rhys Hoskins | 102.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Chase DeLauter | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | David Fry | 100.8mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Cody Bellinger | #68 | 52 | Yankee Stadium | 100.5mph | 27.0° | 394ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Matt Olson | #58 | 56 | Fenway Park | 105.4mph | 37.0° | 428.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Michael Harris II | #68 | 50 | Fenway Park | 104.1mph | 25.0° | 423.0ft |
| 2026-05-14 | Kyle Schwarber | #7 | 75 | Fenway Park | 110.4mph | 28.0° | 417.0ft |
| 2026-04-05 | Manny Machado | #151 | 36 | Fenway Park | 99.3mph | 29.0° | 365.0ft |
| 2026-04-05 | Jackson Merrill | #166 | 37 | Fenway Park | 103.6mph | 34.0° | 384.0ft |
| 2026-03-30 | Jose Altuve | #137 | 34 | Minute Maid Park | 102.2mph | 23.0° | 368.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 284 | 26.4% | -0.9 | 84.1 | 12.2° | 1 |
| Fastball | 223 | 20.8% | -1.7 | 81.1 | 29.1° | 1 |
| Cutter | 218 | 20.3% | -0.8 | 81.3 | 26.0° | 2 |
| Changeup | 171 | 15.9% | +1.5 | 79.8 | 10.6° | 1 |
| Curveball | 159 | 14.8% | -1.2 | 76.7 | 13.8° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
62.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | José Caballero | #177 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Anthony Volpe | #145 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Trent Grisham | #115 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Paul Goldschmidt | #69 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Cody Bellinger | #68 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Amed Rosario | #35 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ben Rice | #9 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | José Caballero | #180 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Anthony Volpe | #140 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Trent Grisham | #122 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Cody Bellinger | #68 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Paul Goldschmidt | #65 | 53 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Amed Rosario | #35 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Ben Rice | #6 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Stuart Fairchild | #270 | 9 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Austin Hedges | #256 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | David Fry | #197 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brayan Rocchio | #184 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Chase DeLauter | #155 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | José Ramírez | #120 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Rhys Hoskins | #117 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Kyle Manzardo | #101 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Travis Bazzana | #95 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ha-Seong Kim | #258 | 11 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Mauricio Dubón | #217 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ozzie Albies | #199 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Sandy León | #182 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #181 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Eli White | #146 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Austin Riley | #76 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Michael Harris II | #68 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Matt Olson | #58 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lane Thomas | #253 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Maikel Garcia | #203 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Starling Marte | #192 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #165 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Carter Jensen | #143 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Salvador Perez | #142 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Nick Loftin | #134 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #56 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Jac Caglianone | #50 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Edmundo Sosa | #174 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Alec Bohm | #172 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | J.T. Realmuto | #166 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Trea Turner | #154 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Felix Reyes | #149 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Brandon Marsh | #131 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Adolis García | #114 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Bryce Harper | #25 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Kyle Schwarber | #7 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-03 | Joey Loperfido | #241 | 4 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Cam Smith | #240 | 7 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jose Altuve | #233 | 11 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Carlos Correa | #222 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Brice Matthews | #216 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Isaac Paredes | #191 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Yainer Diaz | #181 | 21 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Christian Walker | #148 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Yordan Alvarez | #147 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Nathan Lukes | #67 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Ernie Clement | #64 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Daulton Varsho | #48 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Andrés Giménez | #47 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | George Springer | #32 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #25 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Davis Schneider | #21 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Kazuma Okamoto | #16 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Jesús Sánchez | #13 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #256 | 9 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | José Caballero | #227 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Austin Wells | #210 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Ryan McMahon | #189 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Cody Bellinger | #188 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Trent Grisham | #119 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Giancarlo Stanton | #112 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Ben Rice | #43 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Aaron Judge | #33 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Zach McKinstry | #235 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Gleyber Torres | #233 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Javier Báez | #216 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Spencer Torkelson | #193 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Colt Keith | #189 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Kevin McGonigle | #165 | 34 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Riley Greene | #131 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Kerry Carpenter | #110 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Dillon Dingler | #75 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Victor Scott II | #225 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Masyn Winn | #222 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nolan Arenado | #211 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Lars Nootbaar | #200 | 28 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Alec Burleson | #173 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brendan Donovan | #161 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ivan Herrera | #107 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nolan Gorman | #77 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Willson Contreras | #63 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Luis Arraez | #238 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jose Iglesias | #234 | 15 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Xander Bogaerts | #205 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jake Cronenworth | #190 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Elias Diaz | #176 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jackson Merrill | #166 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gavin Sheets | #165 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Manny Machado | #151 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #128 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jake Meyers | #216 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Mauricio Dubon | #207 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Cam Smith | #178 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Victor Caratini | #169 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Yainer Diaz | #146 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jeremy Pena | #143 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jose Altuve | #137 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Isaac Paredes | #135 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Christian Walker | #131 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |